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World: Global Weather Hazards Summary December 29, 2016 - Jan 4, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Angola, Belize, Botswana, Costa Rica, Democratic Republic of the Congo, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritania, Mozambique, Namibia, Nicaragua, Somalia, South Africa, Sudan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, United Republic of Tanzania, Uzbekistan, World, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Locust outbreak has continued in western Mauritania. Breeding has extended to southern Western Sahara, where limited control operations are in progress, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  2. Despite some increase in rainfall during late November, poor and erratic rain since late September has resulted in droughts, which have negatively impacted crops and water availability in southern Ethiopia, southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.

  3. Locust outbreak has subsided in northeastern Sudan.
    However, small scale breeding could increase locust numbers during December, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  4. Insufficient rain during November has led to large moisture deficits and abnormal dryness, which have negatively affected cropping activities over parts of the Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal, and Free State provinces of South Africa.

  5. Below-average rain over the past six weeks has strengthened rainfall deficits and resulted in an abnormal dryness over Tanzania, northern Malawi, and northern Mozambique.

  6. Deficient rain since late November has strengthened rainfall deficits, resulting in abnormal dryness in eastern Madagascar.


World: Food Insecurity and Climate Change

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Source: Government of the United Kingdom, World Food Programme
Country: American Samoa, Angola, Antigua and Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Bolivia (Plurinational State of), Botswana, Brazil, British Virgin Islands, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cameroon, Chad, Colombia, Cook Islands, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Fiji, Gambia, Grenada, Guatemala, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Indonesia, Kenya, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic (the), Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Malaysia, Mali, Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Mexico, Micronesia (Federated States of), Montserrat, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, New Caledonia (France), Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Niue (New Zealand), Pakistan, Palau, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Samoa, Senegal, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Africa, Suriname, Swaziland, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Trinidad and Tobago, Vanuatu, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of), Viet Nam, World, Zambia, Zimbabwe

This website allows you to explore how different scenarios of global greenhouse gas emissions and adaptation to climate change could change the geography of food insecurity in developing and least-developed countries. By altering the levels of future global greenhouse gas emissions and/or the levels of adaptation, you can see how vulnerability to food insecurity changes over time, and compare and contrast these different future scenarios with each other and the present day.

World: Global Weather Hazards Summary January 5 -12, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Angola, Belize, Botswana, Costa Rica, Democratic Republic of the Congo, El Salvador, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritania, Mozambique, Namibia, Nicaragua, South Africa, Sudan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Uzbekistan, World, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Insufficient rain received in many parts of Southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since December, increased locust numbers and breeding have been reported in western Mauritania, Western Sahara, and northeastern Sudan according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  2. Below-average and erratic rainfall over the past several weeks has sustained moisture deficits and resulted in degraded ground conditions across many parts of Uganda, Kenya, bimodal and unimodal areas of Tanzania, northern Malawi, and northern Mozambique.

  3. Insufficient rain during November has led to large moisture deficits and abnormal dryness, which have negatively affected cropping activities over parts of the Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal, and Free State provinces of South Africa.

  4. Deficient rain since late November has strengthened rainfall deficits, resulting in abnormal dryness in eastern and southern Madagascar.

Central Asia Weather Hazards

  1. Abnormal dryness is posted for much of Afghanistan & southern Turkmenistan given recent precipitation deficits and below-average snow water equivalent values throughout the basins of Afghanistan.

Central America and the Caribbean Overview

Rains may be a little heavier than normal this coming week along Caribbean coastal regions*

A few areas of moderate to heavy rainfall were scattered about the region this past week. Moderate rain was observed in eastern parts of eastern Nicaragua according to satellite estimates. There, 50-75mm were recorded. Parts of Costa Rica and Panama received greater than 25mm as well. Elsewhere, precipitation was lighter and scattered, but some parts of northern Guatemala and Honduras saw rainfall.
This pattern was fairly usual for the time of year, with a typical spatial distribution. Over the course of the past 30 days, several heavy rain events led to large positive rainfall anomalies (>200mm) that persist over eastern Nicaragua and northern Costa Rica. Any lingering flood threat in these saturated regions should diminish with lightening rainfall this week. Looking farther back into time, rainfall deficits in Guatemala and Honduras have disappeared as the climatology has dried out. Despite having not seen significant rainfall for quite some time, any lingering ground impacts seem minimal in these areas according to vegetation indices.

Looking ahead to the next outlook period, precipitation models suggest that moderate rains are likely across areas of Central America along the Caribbean coast. Potential totals of greater than 75mm would be greater than is typical for the start of the New Year. Rainfall coverage may also be more widespread than usual over northern Guatemala and Honduras while seasonal dryness will be observed for areas closer to the Pacific Ocean.

World: Global Weather Hazards Summary, December 29, 2016 - January 4, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Angola, Belize, Botswana, Costa Rica, Democratic Republic of the Congo, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritania, Mozambique, Namibia, Nicaragua, Somalia, South Africa, Sudan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, United Republic of Tanzania, Uzbekistan, World, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Locust outbreak has continued in western Mauritania. Breeding has extended to southern Western Sahara, where limited control operations are in progress, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  2. Despite some increase in rainfall during late November, poor and erratic rain since late September has resulted in droughts, which have negatively impacted crops and water availability in southern Ethiopia, southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.

  3. Locust outbreak has subsided in northeastern Sudan.
    However, small scale breeding could increase locust numbers during December, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  4. Insufficient rain during November has led to large moisture deficits and abnormal dryness, which have negatively affected cropping activities over parts of the Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal, and Free State provinces of South Africa.

  5. Below-average rain over the past six weeks has strengthened rainfall deficits and resulted in an abnormal dryness over Tanzania, northern Malawi, and northern Mozambique.

  6. Deficient rain since late November has strengthened rainfall deficits, resulting in abnormal dryness in eastern Madagascar.

World: Global Weather Hazards Summary January 19 -26, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Angola, Belize, Botswana, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritania, Mozambique, Namibia, Nicaragua, Panama, Rwanda, South Africa, Sudan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Western Sahara, World, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since December, increased locust numbers and breeding have been reported in western Mauritania, Western Sahara, and northeastern Sudan according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  2. Below-average and erratic rainfall over the past several weeks has sustained moisture deficits and resulted in degraded ground conditions across many parts of Uganda, Kenya, bimodal and unimodal areas of Tanzania, northern Malawi, and northern Mozambique.

  3. Poor early season rainfall has negatively affected cropping activities over parts of the Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal, and Free State provinces of South Africa. However, rainfall has improved in parts of the Eastern Cape and Free State in recent weeks.

  4. Several consecutive weeks of poor rainfall has strengthened moisture deficits, resulting in abnormal dryness and drought conditions in eastern and northern Madagascar.

  5. Since late December, enhanced seasonal rainfall has resulted in several localized floods, excess ground moisture and is likely to trigger additional floods throughout Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Malawi, Zambia and the Caprivi Strip region. Rapidly rising river levels have been reported along the Limpopo, Save, Buzi, Pungue, and Zambezi Rivers due to heavy rains upstream and downstream.

  6. A prolonged mid-season dry spell since late December has led to strengthening moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions across many parts of southwestern Angola and northwestern Namibia.

World: El Niño - Early Warning Early Action report - Update #10

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Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Country: Angola, Bolivia (Plurinational State of), Botswana, Cambodia, Chad, Colombia, Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Djibouti, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Fiji, Guatemala, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Indonesia, Lao People's Democratic Republic (the), Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Marshall Islands, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Nicaragua, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Africa, Sudan, Swaziland, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Vanuatu, Viet Nam, World, Zambia, Zimbabwe

The impact of the 2015‒2016 El Niño weather phenomenon has been one of the most intense and widespread in the past one hundred years. The agriculture, food security and nutritional status of 60 million people around the globe is affected by El Niño-related droughtsfloods and **extreme hot** and **cold weather**. While the El Niño itself has passed its peak and is now declining, its impact is still growing. Harvests in several parts of the world have already failed and are forecast to fail in other areas.

This report provides a **global analysis** of the current and expected evolution of El Niño-related disasters and their impact on agriculture, food security and nutrition.

World: Global Weather Hazards Summary February 2 -9, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Angola, Guatemala, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritania, Mozambique, Namibia, Nicaragua, Rwanda, South Africa, Sudan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Western Sahara, World, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Lighter, but well distributed rains received across much of southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since December, increased locust numbers and breeding have been reported in western Mauritania, Western Sahara, and northeastern Sudan according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  2. Below-average and erratic rainfall over the past has resulted in strong moisture deficits, degraded ground conditions, and poor crop prospects across many parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Kenya, bimodal and unimodal areas of Tanzania. Seasonal rainfall has failed to increase throughout portions of northern Mozambique.

  3. Several consecutive weeks of poor rainfall has strengthened moisture deficits, resulting in abnormal dryness and drought conditions in eastern and northern Madagascar. However, the development of tropical cyclone over the Indian Ocean may bring increased rainfall amounts along the eastern coastline towards the later portion of the outlook period.

  4. Since late December, enhanced seasonal rainfall has resulted in large moisture surpluses and several localized floods. With wet conditions in place, risk remains high for additional floods throughout Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Malawi, Zambia and the Caprivi Strip region. Rapidly rising river levels have been reported along the Limpopo, Save, Buzi, Pungue, and Zambezi Rivers due to heavy rains upstream and downstream.

  5. A prolonged mid-season dry spell since late December has led to strengthening moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions across many parts of southwestern Angola and northwestern Namibia.

World: Global Weather Hazards Summary, February 10 - 17, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Angola, Belize, Botswana, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritania, Mozambique, Namibia, Nicaragua, Rwanda, South Africa, Sudan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Western Sahara, World, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Heavy rainfall was widespread across much of southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since December, increased locust numbers and breeding have been reported in western Mauritania, Western Sahara, and northeastern Sudan according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  2. Below-average and erratic rainfall over the past has resulted in strong moisture deficits, degraded ground conditions, and poor crop prospects across many parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Kenya, bimodal and unimodal areas of Tanzania. Seasonal rainfall has continued to fail throughout portions of northern Mozambique. A recent influx of rains has mitigated deficits in the southern part of Tanzania.

  3. Many consecutive weeks of poor rainfall has strengthened moisture deficits, resulting in abnormal dryness, drought, and severe drought conditions in eastern and northern Madagascar. An increase in rain has begun to improve conditions for some central parts of the country but relief has not reached eastern coastal areas.

  4. Since late December, enhanced seasonal rainfall has resulted in large moisture surpluses and several floods. With wet conditions in place, risk remains high for additional floods throughout Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Malawi, Zambia and the Caprivi Strip region. Rapidly rising river levels have been reported along the Limpopo, Save, Buzi, Pungue, and Zambezi Rivers due to heavy rains upstream and downstream.

  5. A prolonged mid-season dry spell since late December has led to strengthening moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions across many parts of southwestern Angola and northwestern Namibia.


World: Global Weather Hazards Summary, March 24 - 30, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Angola, Belize, Benin, Botswana, Côte d'Ivoire, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Iran (Islamic Republic of), Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Madagascar, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Nigeria, South Africa, Tajikistan, Togo, Turkmenistan, United Republic of Tanzania, Uzbekistan, World, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Despite an increase in rainfall, long-term moisture deficits remain in Madagascar

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average and erratic rainfall since December has resulted in strong moisture deficits and low soil moisture across parts of northeastern Mozambique.

  2. Despite a robust increase in rainfall following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Enawo during early March, considerable long-term moisture deficits remain due to well below-average rainfall earlier in the season throughout the northern Madagascar.

  3. Inconsistent rainfall and dry spells since late December have led to large moisture deficits across many parts of western Angola.

World: Price Watch February 2017 Prices, March 30, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Chad, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Libya, Madagascar, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, World, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe

KEY MESSAGES

  • In West Africa, regional staple food production during the 2016/17 marketing year was well above average. International rice and wheat imports continue to support regional market supplies. Current market anomalies remain largely concentrated in the eastern marketing basin, including but not limited to: conflict-related market disruptions in the Lake Chad basin, localized above-average grain deficits in Niger, the impacts of the continued depreciation of the Naira, and the closure of the Libya-Chad border, which has limited imports of processed and manufactured goods (Page 3).

  • In East Africa, prices remain well above-average in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen. Somalia is facing well below average domestic production. Markets remain severely disrupted by insecurity in Yemen and South Sudan. Import capacity in Yemen is uncertain, and food availability may be constrained in the coming months. Staple food prices followed seasonal trends in Tanzania, Sudan, and Ethiopia, while increasing atypically in Uganda and Kenya (Page 4).

  • In Southern Africa, regional maize availability improved in February, as the 2016/17 production season continued. Production prospects for the current season are good. This follows a year of very poor maize production, resulting in very large regional deficits. Maize imports by South Africa and Zimbabwe from well-supplied international grain markets have offset over half of the regional deficit. Maize prices are now below their respective 2016 levels, but remain above average region-wide. Prices continued to increase in February in flood-affected areas of southern Mozambique (Page 5).

  • In Central America, maize and bean availability increased following the recent Postrera harvest and the start of the Apante harvest. Maize and bean prices were atypically stable or increasing across the region, with varied trends compared to average levels. In Haiti, markets are still recovering from the impact of Hurricane Matthew. Local maize and bean prices remain above average levels in the major southwestern markets of Les Cayes and Jeremie (Page 6). Imported commodity prices remain stable.

  • In Central Asia, average regional harvests and above-average stocks sustained adequate supplies. Prices were below 2016 levels in Kazakhstan, above-average in Tajikistan, and near average in Afghanistan and Pakistan (Page 7).

  • International staple food markets remain well supplied. Rice, wheat, and soybean prices increased, while maize prices varied in February (Figure 2). Crude oil prices increased slightly, but remain well below average (Page 2).

World: Price WatchMarch 2017 Prices, April 28, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Chad, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Libya, Madagascar, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, World, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe

KEY MESSAGES

  • In West Africa, regional staple food production during the 2016/17 marketing year was well above average. International rice and wheat imports continue to support regional market supplies. Prices began to increase seasonally in many areas, as household stocks depleted and market purchases intensified. Current market anomalies remain largely concentrated in the eastern marketing basin, including but not limited to: conflict-related market disruptions in the Lake Chad basin, localized above-average grain deficits in Niger, and the impacts of the continued depreciation of the Naira (Page 3).

  • In East Africa, prices remain well above-average in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen. Somalia is facing well below-average domestic production. Markets remain severely disrupted by insecurity in Yemen and South Sudan. Import capacity in Yemen is uncertain, and food availability may be constrained in the coming months. Staple food prices followed seasonal trends in Kenya and Sudan, while increasing seasonally but sharply in Tanzania and Uganda (Page 4).

  • In Southern Africa, regional maize availability improved in March with the progression of the 2016/17 production season. Regional maize production prospects for the current season are good, with record high harvests anticipated in South Africa. This follows a year of very poor maize production, resulting in very large regional deficits. Maize imports by South Africa and Zimbabwe from well-supplied international grain markets have offset over half of the regional deficit. Maize prices were generally stable or declining in March, and are below their respective 2016 levels in many areas (Page 5).

  • In Central America, maize availability began to decline following the end of the recent Postrera harvest, while bean supplies from the Apante harvest continued to supply markets. Maize and bean prices were seasonally stable or decreasing across the region, with varied trends compared to average levels. In Haiti, local maize and bean prices are firm in most markets but remain significantly higher than average levels in the major southwestern markets of Les Cayes and Jeremie (Page 6). Imported commodity prices remain stable despite the depreciation of the Gourde.

  • In Central Asia, above-average wheat harvests sustained adequate supplies. Intraregional trade is expected to fill wheat deficits on importing countries. Prices in Kazakhstan, Pakistan, and Afghanistan remained stable and comparable to the 2016 levels, however slight increases were observed in some markets. (Page 7).

  • International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize and soybean prices increased, rice prices were firm, while wheat prices varied in March (Figure 2). Crude oil prices fell and remain well below average (Page 2).

World: Price Watch: April 2017 Prices (May 31 2017)

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Chad, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Libya, Madagascar, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, World, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe

KEY MESSAGES

• In West Africa, regional staple food production during the 2016/17 marketing year was well above average. International rice and wheat imports continue to support regional market supplies. Prices continued to increase seasonally in many areas, as household stocks depleted and market purchases intensified. Current market anomalies remain concentrated in the eastern marketing basin, including but not limited to: conflict-related market disruptions in the Lake Chad basin, localized above-average grain deficits in Niger, and the impacts of the continued depreciation of the Naira (Page 3).

• In East Africa, staple food supplies remain tight and prices well above-average in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen.
Markets remain severely disrupted by insecurity in Yemen and South Sudan. Import capacity in Yemen is uncertain, and food availability may be constrained in the coming months. Uganda, Kenya, and Tanzania are also facing below-average staple food supply and above-average and increasing prices following poor harvests (Page 4).

• In Southern Africa, regional maize availability continued to improve in April with the progression of the 2016/17 production season. Regional maize production prospects for the current season are good with record-high harvests anticipated in South Africa. Maize prices were stable or declined in April, and are below their respective 2016 levels in many areas. The exception to these trends is in Tanzania, where supplies are tight and prices continue to increase in the central and northern areas of the countries (Page 5).

• In Central America, local maize availability continued to decline following the end of the recent Postrera harvest, while bean supplies from the Apante harvest continued to supply markets. Maize and bean prices were seasonally stable or decreasing across the region, with varied trends compared to average levels. In Haiti, local maize and bean prices saw a modest decrease from their March levels but continue to remain well above average levels (Page 6). Imported rice prices remain stable despite the depreciation of the Gourde. The recent removal of fuel subsidies has increased transportation costs and will place an upward pressure on staple food prices in the coming months.

• Central Asia sustained adequate supplies.
Wheat prices in Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Afghanistan remained stable and near 2016 levels. Rice prices in Pakistan increased following greater export demand, affecting also rice prices in Afghanistan. Intraregional trade is expected to fill staple food deficits in importing countries (Page 7).

• International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize, wheat and soybean prices fell, while rice prices remained firm, (Figure 2). Crude oil prices increased and remain well below average (Page 2).

World: Price Watch: May 2017 Prices (June 30, 2017)

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Chad, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, World, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Key Messages

In West Africa, regional staple food production during the 2016/17 marketing year was well above average. International rice and wheat imports continue to support regional market supplies. Prices continued to increase seasonally in many areas in May with the onset of the lean season. Current market anomalies remain largely concentrated in the eastern marketing basin, including but not limited to: conflict-related market disruptions in the Lake Chad basin, localized above-average grain deficits in Niger, and the impacts of the continued depreciation of the Naira. In East Africa, staple food supplies remain tight and prices well above-average in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen. Markets remain severely disrupted by insecurity in Yemen and South Sudan. Import capacity in Yemen is uncertain, and food availability will likely remain constrained in the coming months. Uganda and Kenya are also facing below-average staple food supply and above-average and increasing prices following poor harvests. In Southern Africa, regional maize availability continued to improve in May with the progression of harvests from the 2016/17 production season. Regional maize production prospects for the current season are good with record-high harvests anticipated in South Africa. Maize prices declined sharply in most areas in May, and were below their respective 2016 levels in many areas. The exceptions to these trends are in Zambia, where prices remain above average. Low regional maize prices encouraged exports to East Africa and beyond. In Central America, staple food availability continued to decline following the end of the recent Postrera harvest and Apante harvest. Maize and bean prices were seasonally stable or decreasing across the region, with varied trends compared to average levels. In Haiti, local maize prices were firm while local black beans prices saw a modest increase from their April levels. Imported rice prices were stable as the Haitian gourde appreciated marginally against the U.S. dollar. Higher transportation costs will continue to place upward pressures on staple food prices in the coming months. Central Asia sustained adequate supplies. Wheat prices remained stable in Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Afghanistan, but started to decline in Pakistan with the arrival of the new harvest. Rice prices in Pakistan increased following larger export demand, affecting also rice prices in Afghanistan. Intraregional trade is expected to fill staples’ deficits on importing countries. International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize prices fell, soybean prices rose while rice and wheat prices were mixed. Crude oil prices fell and remain well below average.

World: Price Watch: June 2017 Prices (July 31, 2017)

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Benin, Burkina Faso, Chad, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Tajikistan, Togo, Turkmenistan, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, World, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe

KEY MESSAGES

• In West Africa, regional staple food production during the 2016/17 marketing year was well above average. International rice and wheat imports continue to support market supplies. Prices continued to increase seasonally in many areas with the progression of the lean season. Current market anomalies remain concentrated in the eastern marketing basin, including but not limited to: conflict-related market disruptions in the Lake Chad basin, localized above-average grain deficits in Niger, trade disruptions related to the depreciation of the Naira and various government measures (Page 3).

• In East Africa, staple food supplies remain tight and prices well above-average in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen. Markets remain severely disrupted by insecurity in Yemen and South Sudan. Import capacity in Yemen is uncertain, and food availability will likely remain constrained in the coming months. Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, and Ethiopia are also facing below-average staple food supply and above-average prices following recent or ahead of forthcoming poor harvests (Page 4).

• In Southern Africa, maize availability is average to above average following recent regional harvests. Regional maize production prospects for the current season are good with record-high harvests anticipated in South Africa. Maize prices continued to decline in most countries in June and are below their respective 2016 levels in many areas. Maize grain is generally able to circulate between surplus and deficit areas without major trade restrictions. The exception to these trends is in Tanzania, where measures are currently in place to limit exports and prices remain above average (Page 5).

• In Central America, staple food availability continued to decline following the end of the Postrera harvest and Apante harvest. Maize and bean prices were generally seasonally stable across the region, with varied trends compared to average levels. In Haiti, local maize and bean prices eased with progression of the Printemps harvests (Page 6). Imported rice prices were stable while the Haitian gourde experienced a marginal depreciation against the USD.

• Central Asia sustained adequate supplies. Wheat prices in Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, and Afghanistan remained stable, but declined slightly in Pakistan with the arrival of the new harvest. Forecasts estimate that wheat harvests in Afghanistan, Kazakhstan and Pakistan will be slightly lower than in previous years. Intraregional trade is expected to fill staples’ deficits in importing countries (Page 7).

• International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize prices fell while rice, wheat and soybean prices increased (Figure 2). Crude oil prices fell and remain well below average (Page 2).

World: FPMA Bulletin #7, 10 August 2017

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Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Country: Argentina, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Bolivia (Plurinational State of), Brazil, Burundi, Cambodia, Colombia, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Georgia, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Malawi, Mexico, Moldova, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Niger, Nigeria, Peru, Russian Federation, Rwanda, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sri Lanka, Swaziland, Tajikistan, Thailand, Togo, Uganda, Ukraine, United Republic of Tanzania, Viet Nam, World, Zambia

Key messages

  • International prices of wheat rose further in July on quality concerns, particularly for higher protein wheat, although upward pressure was limited by prospects of ample global supplies. Export prices of maize remained generally unchanged, while a slowdown in demand capped gains in rice quotations.
  • In East Africa, prices of cereals in most countries declined signi cantly for the second consecutive month in July with the new harvests, but remained generally higher than a year earlier. However, in Ethiopia, prices of maize surged further and reached record levels, underpinned by uncertain prospects for the 2017 crops.
  • In the CIS, prices of staple potatoes declined sharply from the record or near-record highs of June in most countries of the subregion with the beginning of the new harvest. Prices, however, remained higher than in July last year after the sharp increases of the past months.

World: Price Watch March 2017 Prices, April 28, 2017

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Chad, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Libya, Madagascar, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, World, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe

KEY MESSAGES

  • In West Africa, regional staple food production during the 2016/17 marketing year was well above average. International rice and wheat imports continue to support regional market supplies. Prices began to increase seasonally in many areas, as household stocks depleted and market purchases intensified. Current market anomalies remain largely concentrated in the eastern marketing basin, including but not limited to: conflict-related market disruptions in the Lake Chad basin, localized above-average grain deficits in Niger, and the impacts of the continued depreciation of the Naira (Page 3).

  • In East Africa, prices remain well above-average in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen. Somalia is facing well below-average domestic production. Markets remain severely disrupted by insecurity in Yemen and South Sudan. Import capacity in Yemen is uncertain, and food availability may be constrained in the coming months. Staple food prices followed seasonal trends in Kenya and Sudan, while increasing seasonally but sharply in Tanzania and Uganda (Page 4).

  • In Southern Africa, regional maize availability improved in March with the progression of the 2016/17 production season. Regional maize production prospects for the current season are good, with record high harvests anticipated in South Africa. This follows a year of very poor maize production, resulting in very large regional deficits. Maize imports by South Africa and Zimbabwe from well-supplied international grain markets have offset over half of the regional deficit. Maize prices were generally stable or declining in March, and are below their respective 2016 levels in many areas (Page 5).

  • In Central America, maize availability began to decline following the end of the recent Postrera harvest, while bean supplies from the Apante harvest continued to supply markets. Maize and bean prices were seasonally stable or decreasing across the region, with varied trends compared to average levels. In Haiti, local maize and bean prices are firm in most markets but remain significantly higher than average levels in the major southwestern markets of Les Cayes and Jeremie (Page 6). Imported commodity prices remain stable despite the depreciation of the Gourde.

  • In Central Asia, above-average wheat harvests sustained adequate supplies. Intraregional trade is expected to fill wheat deficits on importing countries. Prices in Kazakhstan, Pakistan, and Afghanistan remained stable and comparable to the 2016 levels, however slight increases were observed in some markets. (Page 7).

  • International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize and soybean prices increased, rice prices were firm, while wheat prices varied in March (Figure 2). Crude oil prices fell and remain well below average (Page 2).

World: FPMA Bulletin #8, 12 September 2017

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Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Country: Argentina, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Bolivia (Plurinational State of), Brazil, Burundi, Cambodia, Colombia, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Georgia, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, India, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Malawi, Mexico, Moldova, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Niger, Nigeria, Peru, Russian Federation, Rwanda, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sri Lanka, Swaziland, Tajikistan, Thailand, Togo, Uganda, Ukraine, United Republic of Tanzania, Viet Nam, World, Zambia

Key messages

  • International prices of wheat dipped in August, after increasing in the past few months, following an upturn in production prospects in the Black Sea region which improved the 2017 global supply outlook.
    Maize quotations also fell on improved weather conditions and abundant global supplies. International prices of rice were relatively stable, although price movements were mixed across the different rice market segments.

  • In East Africa, prices of cereals generally continued to decline with the new harvests. The main exception was Ethiopia, where prices increased further at a fast pace, underpinned by the poor performance of the secondary season harvest and concerns over the main season crop, soon to be gathered.

  • In Asia, domestic prices of rice decreased or remained relatively stable in August, amid generally favourable prospects for the 2017 paddy crops, about to be harvested, and a slowdown in demand. In Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, despite recent decreases, prices remained higher than a year earlier, mainly due to weather-related losses of main season crops, gathered earlier in the year.

World: Price Watch September 2016 Prices, October 31, 2016

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Chad, Costa Rica, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mexico, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Tajikistan, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, World, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Key Messages

  • In West Africa, the regional harvest outlook is favorable as the 2015/16 marketing year came to a close in September. Staple food production during the 2016/17 marketing year is expected to be similar to 2015/16 and well above average. International rice and wheat imports continue to support regional market supplies. Markets remained disrupted throughout the Lake Chad Basin and in parts of Central and Northern Mali. The recent depreciation of the Naira has led to price increases across Nigeria and reduced purchasing power for livestock and cash crops in the Sahel.

  • In East Africa, staple food prices seasonally declined slightly but remained very high in South Sudan following abrupt escalation of conflict in Juba in July and the resulting significant disruption of market activity. Maize and sorghum prices increased in Ethiopia following the recent below-average Belg harvest and tightening of supplies. Maize prices were seasonally stable in surplus-producing Tanzania and Uganda, except in the Karamoja region where below-average harvests led to price increases. Markets remain disrupted by insecurity in Yemen.

  • In Southern Africa, regional maize availability is currently adequate, despite consecutive years of well-below average regional production. Maize prices are above their respective 2015 and five-year average levels region wide. Imports by South Africa and Zimbabwe from well-supplied international grain markets have offset a portion of the regional deficit, while maize export restrictions in Zambia remained in place. Prices remain high and variable in Mozambique, which is experiencing supply constraints and where other factors contribute to food trade and price dynamics.

  • In Central America, maize and bean supplies from the Primera harvest began to supply markets across the region, which is estimated to be near average levels. Maize prices seasonally declined while bean price trends were mixed. In Haiti, staple food markets remained well supplied in September. However, prices are expected to increase in the coming months due to significant crop loss from hurricane Mathew.

  • In Central Asia, near average regional harvests and above-average stocks sustained adequate supplies. Prices are below 2015 levels in Kazakhstan and above-average in structurally-deficit Tajikistan. Prices continued to be near average in Afghanistan and Pakistan. International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize, rice, and soybean prices fell while wheat prices increased in September. Crude oil prices increased and remained well below average.

World: Global Climate Risk Index 2017: Who Suffers Most From Extreme Weather Events? Weather-related Loss Events in 2015 and 1996 to 2015

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Source: Germanwatch
Country: Angola, Bahamas, Bangladesh, Burundi, Cabo Verde, Chile, Djibouti, Dominica, Ethiopia, Gambia, Ghana, Guatemala, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Honduras, India, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Nicaragua, Niger, Pakistan, Philippines, South Africa, Thailand, Vanuatu, Viet Nam, World, Zimbabwe

Who Suffers Most From Extreme Weather Events? Weather-related Loss Events in 2015 and 1996 to 2015

The Global Climate Risk Index 2017 analyses to what extent countries have been affected by the impacts of weather-related loss events (storms, floods, heat waves etc.). This year’s 12th edition of the analysis reconfirms that, according to the Climate Risk Index, less developed countries are generally more affected than industrialised countries. Regarding future climate change, the Climate Risk Index may serve as a red flag for already existing vulnerability that may further increase in regions where extreme events will become more frequent or more severe due to climate change. While some vulnerable developing countries are frequently hit by extreme events, there are also some others where such disasters are a rare occurrence.

The most recent data available – from 2015 and 1996–2015 – were taken into account to produce the following key messages:

According to the Germanwatch Global Climate Risk Index, Honduras, Myanmar and Haiti were the countries most affected by extreme weather events between 1996 and 2015.

In 2015, Mozambique, Dominica as well as Malawi were at the top of the list of the most affected countries.

Altogether, more than 528 000 people died as a direct result of nearly 11 000 extreme weather events; and losses between 1996 and 2015 amounted to around 3.08 trillion US$ (in Purchasing Power Parities). The host region of the UN climate summit 2016 – the continent of Africa – is severely affected by climatic events with four countries ranking among the 10 countries worldwide most affected in 2015 – Mozambique (1st), Malawi (3rd), Ghana and Madagascar (joint 8th position).

Precipitation, floods and landslides were the major causes of damage in 2015. A high incidence of extreme precipitation supports the scientific expectations of accelerated hydrological cycles caused by climate warming.

Most of the affected countries in the Bottom 10 of the long-term index have a high ranking due to exceptional catastrophes. Over the last few years another category of countries has been gaining relevance: Countries like the Philippines and Pakistan that are recurrently affected by catastrophes continuously rank among the most affected countries both in the long term index and in the index for the respective year for the last six years.

Of the ten most affected countries (1996–2015), nine were developing countries in the low income or lower-middle income country group, while only one was classified as an upper-middle income country.

The climate summit in Marrakesh is giving the “go-ahead” on developing the “rulebook” for the Paris Agreement, including the global adaptation goal, adaptation communication systems, and finance assessment systems for building resilience. A review of the UNFCCC’s work on loss and damage provides the opportunity to better detail the next 5-year’s work on loss and damage, in relation to the climate regime, as well as to better understand exactly how loss and damage should be taken up under the Paris Agreement. View

World: Price Watch October 2016 Prices, November 30, 2016

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Afghanistan, Democratic Republic of the Congo, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Tajikistan, Uganda, World, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Key Messages

  • In West Africa, regional staple food production during the 2016/17 marketing year is expected to be similar to 2015/16 and well above average. International rice and wheat imports continue to support regional market supplies. Markets remained disrupted throughout the Lake Chad Basin and in parts of Central and Northern Mali. The recent depreciation of the Naira has led to price increases across Nigeria. High prices along with local policy measures created incentives for expanded grain production, but has also led to reduced purchasing power for Sahelian livestock and cash crops.

  • In East Africa, staple food prices were mixed, seasonally increasing or remaining stable in surplus-producing Uganda and Tanzania as the lean season started, while seasonally declining in Sudan, South Sudan, Kenya, and Ethiopia with the start of harvests. Prices remain above average across the region, and are especially high in South Sudan. Markets remain disrupted by insecurity in Yemen.

  • In** Southern Africa**, regional maize availability is currently adequate, despite consecutive years of well-below average regional production. Maize prices are above their respective 2015 and five-year average levels region wide. Imports by South Africa and Zimbabwe from well-supplied international grain markets have offset a portion of the regional deficit, while maize export restrictions in Zambia remained in place. Prices remain high and variable in Mozambique, which is experiencing supply constraints and where other factors contribute to food trade and price dynamics.

  • In Central America, maize and bean supplies from the Primera harvest continued to supply markets across the region. Maize and bean prices seasonally declined or were stable. Hurricane Matthew destroyed crops and market infrastructure across much of southwestern Haiti. Market activities resumed in the major markets of Les Cayes and Jeremie, but varies considerably across smaller markets.

  • In Central Asia, average regional harvests and above-average stocks sustained adequate supplies. Prices are below 2015 levels in Kazakhstan and above-average in structurally-deficit Tajikistan. Prices continued to be near average in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

  • **International **staple food markets remain well supplied. Regional price indices reflect high prices in East Africa. Rice and soybean prices fell while wheat and maize prices stabilized in October. Crude oil prices remained well below-average.

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